Recent Bitcoin pullbacks have sparked fresh debates about whether the rally has run its course. According to cryptocurrency market analysts, this story isn't over yet.
Bitcoin is only 6% down from its all-time high of $112,000, but some analysts point to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) warning signs of a potential top. Titan, a prominent market observer, suggests we remain deep within a bull cycle.
Fractal Cycles Continue Unfolding
Titan highlights clear patterns from Bitcoin's last two cycles:
Each cycle begins with a ~13-month downtrend (≈396 days).
- 2014–15: Bitcoin dropped from $1,240 to $161.
- Followed by a 35-bar uptrend (1,065 days), peaking at $19,800 in December 2017.
- The same 13-bar slide and 35-bar surge repeated post-2018, culminating in $69,000 in 2021.
"#Bitcoin bull market enters its final phase 🏁
Similar to past cycles: ~1 year of bear market, followed by ~3 years of expansion. $BTC looks primed for one last parabolic leg."
— CryptoTitan (@Washigorira) June 18, 2025
Momentum and RSI Warnings
While weakening RSI often signals a peak, Titan argues the current cycle still has room to run. Key data points:
- Current bull phase: Started January 2023 (now at bar #29), with Bitcoin up 530%.
- Projection: At least 5 more monthly green bars before a potential November rally.
- Breakout scenario: A wedge pattern could propel prices to ~$137,000 before a significant correction.
👉 Why institutional demand could push Bitcoin even higher
Institutional Catalysts for Higher Peaks
- Samson Mou (CEO, Jan 3): Predicts Bitcoin surpassing $1M amid sovereign bond deployments and hyper-stabilization policies.
- Raoul Pal (Real Vision): Foresees $1M/BTC by 2030, fueled by monetary stimulus and limited supply.
- Michael Saylor: Echoes the $1M threshold before any meaningful correction.
These voices highlight institutional inflows and supply compression as key drivers.
FAQ: Bitcoin’s Current Cycle
Q: Is Bitcoin’s rally over?
A: Analysts disagree. While RSI hints at overheating, fractal patterns suggest 5+ months of growth remain.
Q: What’s the $137,000 projection based on?
A: A wedge breakout pattern observed in past cycles, combined with institutional buying pressure.
Q: How does this cycle differ from 2017 or 2021?
A: ETFs, corporate adoption (e.g., MicroStrategy), and algorithmic trading amplify momentum beyond retail-driven past rallies.
👉 Explore Bitcoin’s future price trajectories
BTC trades at $104,664 at press time. Source: TradingView
Key Takeaways:
- Bullish signals: Fractal cycles, institutional demand.
- Cautionary metrics: Rising RSI, potential short-term volatility.
- Long-term outlook: $1M/BTC scenarios gain traction among experts.
This rally transcends past trends—today’s Bitcoin is shaped by ETFs, whales, and algorithmic precision. Stay tuned for updates.
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