Can Algorithmic Stablecoin UST Escape Its Death Spiral? Lessons from Its Sudden Depegging

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The cryptocurrency world was rocked in May 2022 when TerraUSD (UST)—the world's third-largest stablecoin—experienced a catastrophic depegging event. What followed was a financial domino effect that wiped out $28 billion in market capitalization within days. This article examines what happened, why it matters, and what the industry can learn.

The UST Collapse: A Timeline of Events

UST price chart showing steep depeg

Three Generations of Stablecoins

1. First-Gen: Centralized (e.g., USDT, USDC)

2. Second-Gen: Decentralized (e.g., Dai)

3. Third-Gen: Algorithmic (e.g., UST)

Why UST Failed: Endogenous vs. Exogenous Risks

UST's fatal flaw was its endogenous risk structure—its stability depended entirely on Luna, creating a dangerous feedback loop:

  1. UST depegs → Luna price falls
  2. Falling Luna → More UST depegging
  3. Repeat → Death spiral

👉 Learn how to identify risky stablecoins

Key Lessons

1. Diversify Reserve Assets

2. Transparency Matters

3. Regulation Is Coming

FAQ

Q: Can UST recover?
A: Extremely unlikely—the death spiral has destroyed market confidence.

Q: Are all algorithmic stablecoins risky?
A: Most carry similar endogenous risks. Diversified models may emerge.

Q: What should investors do now?
A: Stick to well-audited stablecoins with transparent reserves.

👉 Explore safer stablecoin options

The crypto industry will learn from this crisis—but the lessons came at tremendous cost.